The new Bundestag will be elected within ten days. In the current ARD Germany trend (infratest dimap), the Union and the SPD are in the house extension – and the Union is a bit more!
In the current ARD election poll, the union is now at 22 percent (+2), and the SPD is growing, up to 26 percent (+1). So the difference is 4 percentage points.
► Armin Laschet can’t talk about a trend reversal due to the SPD winning points, but he: It’s a ray of hope for the Union candidate.
The result for the other parties
In the direction of ARD Germany ten days before the election, the following values also result:
► Green 15 percent (-1)
► FDP 11 percent (-2)
► AfD 11 percent (-1)
► Left 6 percent (+/- 0)
All other parties together make 9 percent (+1).
In the case of the election result according to the current poll, it would be sufficient in theory for a grand coalition between the SPD and the Union.
It will also be possible to establish three-party coalitions led by the Social Democratic Party with the Green Party and the FDP, or with the Green Party and the Left. It would also be possible to form a union-led coalition with the Green Party and the Free Democratic Party.
The ARD election poll isn’t an explicit prediction, but rather the political mood for the current week. Sunday’s question measures current voting trends and not actual voting behavior.
Many voters have not made up their minds yet
Roughly one in six (16 percent) in the current poll said the party’s preference could change within ten days by Sunday’s election.
On the other hand, about two-thirds (65 percent) made their own voting decision. 19 percent of those surveyed stated that they did not want to participate in the elections or showed no party preference.
Regarding the desired governance, respondents do not show a clear preference ten days before the election:
- About a third (34 percent; -1) support a government led by the Social Democratic Party.
- Three in ten (29 percent; +5) of respondents favor a union-led government.
- About every eight (12 percent; -1) would like a government to be led by the Greens.
- For a quarter (25 percent; -3) none of the three is considered an option.
Lashet also stays away from fake direct voting
If you could elect the Federal Chancellor directly, 40 percent (-3) would currently be for the SPD candidate Olaf Schulz voices. 19 percent (+3) will be union candidates Armin Laschet Choose and 13 percent (+1) support Annala Barbuk the end.
Three out of ten Germans (28 percent; -1) still do not want or do not want to choose any of the three people.
Schulz remains the most popular frontrunner
► Despite losing points, the SPD candidate for chancellor remains the most popular candidate among all parties in this federal election with 51 percent (-5).
Coming in second is FDP chair Christian Lindner, who continues to have a positive rating by a third (33 percent; +1). With the work of Green Chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock, 27 percent (+2) are satisfied with the work of Union candidate Armin Laschet, and 25 percent (+5).
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