If all the climate protection measures taken thus far are implemented as planned, global warming will be, according to the researchers, 2.4 degrees by the end of the century – well above the 1.5-degree target required. This was a result of recent speculation of the Climate Action Tracking Analysis (CAT) project, which climate researcher Niklas Hohn presented Tuesday with German Environment Minister Svenia Schulz (SPD) in Berlin.
As part of the Twelfth Petersberg Climate Dialogue, Höhne presented the latest forecast that, despite assuming a slightly more optimistic scenario than it was a few months ago (less than 0.2 °), is insufficient from the researchers’ point of view to predict global warming. To reduce the required quantity. If no further measures are taken to contain climate change from now on, the projected temperature in 2100 will be 2.9 degrees. In the “optimistic scenario” with far-reaching emission cuts, the warming would be 2.0 degrees according to the calculations.
Topic: The end of the century expected to warm from # Paris Agreement Pledges down 0.2 ° C to 2.4 ° C: our latest analysis of what’s new # NDCSince September. The “optimist” (including each # netZero) Goals drop to 2 ° C (with a probability of 50:50). https://t.co/RQW0sk6ImPpic.twitter.com/VDnZ5TSSLB
?? ClimateActionTracker (climateactiontr) May 4, 2021
The goal: climate neutrality
Hoon said 131 countries have currently set targets to become climate neutral. This covers 73 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions and is a “clearly critical mass”. However, in order to fully meet the targets of the 2015 Paris climate agreement, temperature rise must be a maximum of 1.5 degrees by the end of the century. According to Findings Based on Tracking Climate Action, all global emissions must be cut in half by 2030.
Hoon said that at present it does not look like it, even if it is “physically and technically” possible. “There is a big gap between claim and reality.” It is with pleasure that countries such as the USA, Great Britain and Argentina have set themselves more ambitious climate targets. Others, including Australia and Brazil, will not live up to expectations. The scientist concluded that so far, not a single country has set adequate reduction targets in the short term. (apa, dpa)