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Summer begins: are the best weeks still ahead? Meteorology

This year, the plane is not weak, but it is very strong compared to the past 10 years. There are obvious similarities with 2003, 2010 and 2018, all of which featured at least one extremely hot summer month.

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Storms and heat exchange

In the coming weeks, there will be a back and forth between storms and heat. There is always warm or hot air from the southwest or south, followed by thunderstorms or thunderstorms. The powerful jet repeatedly pulls bubbles of warm air from the Mediterranean or even from North Africa to the north.

It can heat up again quickly, even above 30 degrees. But the heat will not last long. Because the plane quickly sends the cooler Atlantic air back, and when these two air masses meet, thunderstorms, or thunderstorms, occur.

However, at the end of July, the general weather situation changed again. A region of high pressure appears to be developing over Western Europe. Then it heats up again. But this time, the summer weather will last longer – maybe two weeks or maybe more.

Extreme weather indicates summer

The year 2021 has been observed so far with impressive and also frightening extreme weather swings. So there was snow as far as the Gulf of Mexico in the spring. At the same time the temperature was 30 degrees on the White Sea in Russia. And recently the extreme heat in the United States and Canada with temperatures around 50 degrees. Russia is experiencing a record long-term warmth again.

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Desert blows to Canada

But something different than in previous years. Because the polar plane is currently very clear. In the past few years, we’ve sometimes had to search for the plane for weeks before it wakes up again. But it is currently blowing over the Atlantic Ocean. At the same time, El Niño is in a neutral phase.

And this year there was also a split in the polar vortex in January. So we are in a similar situation to the situation in 2003, 2010 and 2018. All of these seasons were characterized by very stable rotation patterns in the northern hemisphere. This is exactly what we are seeing this year as well. It was not in vain that desert air penetrated as far as Canada and desert dust as far as the Cape of the North.

More consistent summer weather on the horizon

And there is a reason for all this, in the northern hemisphere large-scale constant pressure and temperature waves are formed. It boils down to the fact that 7 large waves develop, which can remain stable for several weeks. The first half of the whole year was already marked by such stable waves, in which warm air can advance very far to the north and cold air move very far to the south.

At the moment, Germany is still on the edge of the high pressure zone over Russia, and therefore it is always exposed to these climatic changes. But at the end of July, high pressure increases in Western Europe with continuous summer weather rising from Flensburg to Füssen. We have the best chances of summer weather from the end of July to the middle of August.

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With these possibilities, of course, the fun of barbecue also increases. And if you now find that you still lack the right equipment, you’ll find some suggestions on Amazon:

Summer ends nicely

Temperatures seem to drop from mid-August. Then more and more areas of low pressure come to us again. However, it is still relatively moderate. Looks like he’ll be with us for a long time. Forecasts from September to November show above-average temperatures. Indian summer may be a long time this year, and the beginning of winter may be a long time.

Is there a cold winter coming?

The big question about winter follows immediately. But it’s still too early for that. However, one can say something about the requirements. Another La Niña event is likely in the Pacific Ocean, fundamentally increasing the chance that winter will appear late.

In addition, we are still at the solar minimum, which also indicates rather cold values. The first climate model for December and January indicates average values. So we can only say that winter is likely to come late. However, we must not forget that there was a lot of snow in the winter of 2010/2011 even before Christmas – and conditions in 2010 are very similar to this year.

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Original text of this post “Summer Gaining Momentum: Are the Best Weeks Still Ahead?” comes from weather channel.

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